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Tagus <> Bytes (04.03.26)

Your daily insights on what is driving the crypto sector

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Tagus Capital
Mar 04, 2026
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Warm Welcome, Tagus Community, March 04, 2026

  • Bitcoin Shows Early Crisis Resilience: In the early days of escalating US–Iran conflict, Bitcoin has shown notable resilience, initially dipping around 4%-10% (Tagus <> Bytes: Mar. 02, 2026) but quickly recovering toward the $67,000–$69,000 range, outperforming equities in some risk-off sessions and demonstrating partial decoupling from traditional markets. Gold initially acted as a traditional safe-haven, rising on early risk-off flows, but as of Mar. 3, 2026, it has retreated 3-3.5% amid a strong U.S. dollar and dimming U.S. rate-cut expectations. Meanwhile, Nasdaq futures have reflected broader equity volatility, with sharp declines and partial recoveries, underscoring the contrast between high-beta equities, digital assets, and traditional defensive commodities. As per recent analysis (Tagus <> Bytes: Mar 02 & 03, 2026), this suggests that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving as a hybrid asset. It can absorb shocks and recover rapidly like a risk-off instrument, while gold, as a traditional flight-to-quality asset, can underperform when liquidity and currency effects dominate. In other words, Bitcoin may now exhibit some defensive characteristics during crisis periods, but gold’s retreat highlights that even classic safe-havens are not immune to market dynamics, positioning Bitcoin as a more flexible yet still high-beta alternative.

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